FK Rodina Moskva 0-1 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.89/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.22
+14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2W-1D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-3 HT 1-2 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
02.10.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
22.04.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-2 HT 1-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
01.10.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
0-1
AWAY KAMAZ
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ nicked a narrow win over FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Rodina Moskva at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 51% of the ball to KAMAZ's 49%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 1.25 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs KAMAZ?

FK Rodina Moskva 0-1 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 54%, draw 24%, KAMAZ 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
4 Aug 2024
17:30 Shinnik vs FC Sochi Analysis →
18:00 Neftekhimik vs Rotor Volgograd Analysis →