KAMAZ 1-3 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.17/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.91
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
1W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
22.04.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-2 HT 1-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
01.10.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
1-3
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva got the better of KAMAZ 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 40% — and on the day FK Rodina Moskva made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAMAZ had 54% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 46%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KAMAZ and 1.00 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs FK Rodina Moskva?

KAMAZ 1-3 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 31%, draw 30%, FK Rodina Moskva 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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