Shinnik 2-1 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.14/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.49
-2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
0W-2D-4L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk HAZ
16.07.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
06.11.2022 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 3-1 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
05.12.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 2-3 HT 1-2 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
30.08.2020 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
27.02.2018 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
2-1
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik nicked a narrow win over SKA Khabarovsk 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Shinnik found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shinnik had 36% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 64%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SKA Khabarovsk led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shinnik and 1.67 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Shinnik 2-1 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 36%, draw 30%, SKA Khabarovsk 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shinnik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shinnik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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