Sokol Saratov 2-1 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.9pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
0.27/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
-80% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tyumen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
2 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
05.11.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 2-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
2-1
AWAY Tyumen
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov nicked a narrow win over Tyumen 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sokol Saratov as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 44% of the ball to Tyumen's 56%, shots finished 11-16.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Tyumen?

Sokol Saratov 2-1 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sokol Saratov win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 41%, draw 27%, Tyumen 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sokol Saratov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sokol Saratov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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