Akron 3-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 May 2024

Akron
3-1 HT 1-1
Makhachkala
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2023/2024

Akron vs Makhachkala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.3pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.6pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akron v Makhachkala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
0.92/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.67
-22% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +87%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Akron vs Makhachkala Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Makhachkala
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
26.03.2023 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
04.09.2022 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-1 Akron Akron RUS1
POST-MATCH Akron vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron saw off Makhachkala 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Akron found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Akron had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Akron and 0.33 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Akron vs Makhachkala?

Akron 3-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - FNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Akron 35%, draw 34%, Makhachkala 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akron) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Akron) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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