Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 Kuban Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.70/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.06
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.07.2023 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
27.05.2023 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 0-2 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
06.11.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
31.10.2021 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
17.07.2021 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2-0
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Kuban Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk beat Kuban Krasnodar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yenisey Krasnoyarsk as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 61% of the ball to Kuban Krasnodar's 39%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.20 for Kuban Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Kuban Krasnodar?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 Kuban Krasnodar in the Russia - FNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Kuban Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 64%, draw 19%, Kuban Krasnodar 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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