Maribor 1-1 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

Maribor
1-1 HT 1-0
NK Bravo
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Maribor vs NK Bravo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maribor v NK Bravo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
2.35/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.27
+32% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Maribor vs NK Bravo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY NK Bravo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
22.02.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
22.10.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
13.08.2023 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 2-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
15.03.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-3 HT 0-3 Maribor Maribor SLVN
29.11.2022 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 3-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN

Maribor 1-1 NK Bravo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
1-1
AWAY NK Bravo
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor and NK Bravo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Maribor had 59% of the ball to NK Bravo's 41%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 1.17 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of Maribor vs NK Bravo?

Maribor 1-1 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Maribor 52%, draw 24%, NK Bravo 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →