NK Bravo 1-1 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 27% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
1.23/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.08
+7% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Bravo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Maribor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
22.10.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
13.08.2023 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 2-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
15.03.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-3 HT 0-3 Maribor Maribor SLVN
29.11.2022 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 3-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
11.09.2022 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Bravo
1-1
AWAY Maribor
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH NK Bravo vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Bravo and Maribor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, NK Bravo had 42% of the ball to Maribor's 58%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Bravo and 2.00 for Maribor.

What was the final score of NK Bravo vs Maribor?

NK Bravo 1-1 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Bravo vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split NK Bravo 30%, draw 27%, Maribor 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maribor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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