Domzale 1-3 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
29%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 60%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.12/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.16
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
21.10.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.08.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
13.05.2023 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.03.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-4 HT 0-3 Domzale Domzale SLVN
12.11.2022 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-3
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana got the better of Domzale 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Domzale had 42% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 58%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Domzale and 1.67 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Domzale 1-3 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Domzale 23%, draw 26%, Olimpija Ljubljana 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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