Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.98
2-3 Goals
44%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.94/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.69
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Domzale
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.08.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
13.05.2023 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.03.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-4 HT 0-3 Domzale Domzale SLVN
12.11.2022 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
04.09.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 HT 0-2 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0
AWAY Domzale
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana nicked a narrow win over Domzale 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 60% of the ball to Domzale's 40%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.50 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 56%, draw 21%, Domzale 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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