Mura 1-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

Mura
1-1 HT 1-0
Koper
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Mura vs Koper Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.85
6+ Goals
13%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mura v Koper — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.38/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.81
+17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Mura vs Koper Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Koper
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.04.2024 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK
23.03.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
22.10.2023 Mura Mura 2-2 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
14.08.2023 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
16.03.2023 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
30.11.2022 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN

Mura 1-1 Koper — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-1
AWAY Koper
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mura vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura and Koper couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Mura had 40% of the ball to Koper's 60%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mura and 1.33 for Koper.

What was the final score of Mura vs Koper?

Mura 1-1 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mura 33%, draw 29%, Koper 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Koper) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Under 2.5
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