Nijer 0-1 Gine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Championship, 4 Aug 2025

Nijer
0-1 HT 0-0
Gine
📅04/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
52%
Away Win
47%
+4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijer EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gine EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.67/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.51
+43% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +141% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
9.0 Crosses 23.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijer
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14.10.2012 Nijer Nijer 2-0 HT 0-0 Gine Gine AFUK
09.09.2012 Gine Gine 1-0 HT 0-0 Nijer Nijer AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijer
0-1
AWAY Gine
0.18 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
229 Passes 266
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
7 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nijer vs Gine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gine edged past Nijer 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gine as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nijer had 48% of the ball to Gine's 52%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.18 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nijer and 0.50 for Gine.

What was the final score of Nijer vs Gine?

Nijer 0-1 Gine in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijer vs Gine?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gine win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nijer 22%, draw 26%, Gine 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gine), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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