Uganda 0-3 Cezayir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Championship, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.48
Over 2.5
50%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
5.26
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
30%
-7.9pp
50%
Away Win
43%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cezayir EU Bookmakers 46%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+37% / -83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Cezayir
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.86
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
128 Passes 547
56% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2024 Uganda Uganda 1-2 HT 1-0 Cezayir Cezayir DKE
18.06.2023 Uganda Uganda 1-2 HT 0-1 Cezayir Cezayir AFUK
04.06.2022 Cezayir Cezayir 2-0 HT 1-0 Uganda Uganda AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda
0-3
AWAY Cezayir
0.37 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 Passes 353
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Uganda vs Cezayir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir ran out comfortable winners over Uganda 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Uganda had 46% of the ball to Cezayir's 54%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.37 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cezayir led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uganda and 2.00 for Cezayir.

What was the final score of Uganda vs Cezayir?

Uganda 0-3 Cezayir in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda vs Cezayir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Uganda 28%, draw 22%, Cezayir 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir)
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