Uganda 1-2 Cezayir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Jun 2024

📅10/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.48
Over 2.5
30%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
12%
5.82
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-10.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
64%
+6.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
36%
-6.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.8pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Cezayir EU Bookmakers 53%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.25/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-73% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Cezayir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.86
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
128 Passes 547
56% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2023 Uganda Uganda 1-2 HT 0-1 Cezayir Cezayir AFUK
04.06.2022 Cezayir Cezayir 2-0 HT 1-0 Uganda Uganda AFUK
POST-MATCH Uganda vs Cezayir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir squeezed past Uganda 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cezayir found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cezayir led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uganda and 2.00 for Cezayir.

What was the final score of Uganda vs Cezayir?

Uganda 1-2 Cezayir in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda vs Cezayir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uganda 31%, draw 30%, Cezayir 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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