Gana 4-3 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Jun 2024

📅10/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 33% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.2pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.6pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gana EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.76/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.03
-30% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +126%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gana
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 0.57
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
402 Passes 166
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2023 Gana Gana 2-1 HT 1-1 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
05.06.2022 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 1-1 HT 1-1 Gana Gana AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gana
4-3
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gana vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gana edged past Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gana as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gana had 62% of the ball to Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti's 38%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gana had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gana and 1.00 for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Gana vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti?

Gana 4-3 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gana vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gana 58%, draw 27%, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 15%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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