Benin 2-1 Nijerya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Jun 2024

Benin
2-1 HT 2-1
Nijerya
📅10/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Benin vs Nijerya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.17
6+ Goals
5%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 38% vs market 36.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
28%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
46%
Away Win
59%
-12.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Benin v Nijerya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benin EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijerya EU Bookmakers 62%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.21
+51% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -59%
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
248 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Benin vs Nijerya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benin
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Nijerya
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
The Meetings
27.03.2021 Benin Benin 0-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
13.11.2019 Nijerya Nijerya 2-1 HT 1-1 Benin Benin AFUK
16.01.2010 Nijerya Nijerya 1-0 HT 1-0 Benin Benin AFUK
29.01.2008 Nijerya Nijerya 2-0 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK

Benin 2-1 Nijerya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benin
2-1
AWAY Nijerya
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benin vs Nijerya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benin squeezed past Nijerya 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nijerya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benin had 34% of the ball to Nijerya's 66%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nijerya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Benin and 1.50 for Nijerya.

What was the final score of Benin vs Nijerya?

Benin 2-1 Nijerya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benin vs Nijerya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Benin 22%, draw 31%, Nijerya 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nijerya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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