Bermuda 1-6 Honduras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Jun 2024

📅10/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
9.57
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
55%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.57
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.57 — our 24% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
8%
+16.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
55%
Away Win
77%
-21.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bermuda EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Honduras EU Bookmakers 81%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
233 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bermuda
1-6
AWAY Honduras
1.09 xG 3.45
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 6
244 Passes 454
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 51
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bermuda vs Honduras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Honduras swept aside Bermuda 6-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Honduras as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bermuda had 39% of the ball to Honduras's 61%, shots finished 4-26, expected goals 1.09 to 3.45.

What was the final score of Bermuda vs Honduras?

Bermuda 1-6 Honduras in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bermuda vs Honduras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Honduras win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bermuda 24%, draw 21%, Honduras 55%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Honduras), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Honduras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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