Cacahuatique 0-2 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.00/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
-40% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacahuatique
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
27.03.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
30.01.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
28.10.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
25.08.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 2-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco beat Cacahuatique 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cacahuatique at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cacahuatique had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cacahuatique and 0.25 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Cacahuatique 0-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacahuatique win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cacahuatique 45%, draw 28%, Fuerte San Francisco 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cacahuatique) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cacahuatique) ✓ Under 2.5
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