Platense 1-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
0.91/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.85
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
211 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
27.03.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
30.01.2025 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
01.12.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
23.09.2024 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
22.04.2024 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
18.02.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
POST-MATCH Platense vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense and Alianza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Platense and 1.33 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Platense vs Alianza?

Platense 1-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Platense 27%, draw 24%, Alianza 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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