Platense 1-0 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
0.91/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.86
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alianza
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
10 Corners 3
01.12.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
23.09.2024 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
22.04.2024 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
18.02.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
09.11.2023 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
07.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
POST-MATCH Platense vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense nicked a narrow win over Alianza 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Platense and 1.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Platense vs Alianza?

Platense 1-0 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Platense 28%, draw 22%, Alianza 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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