Dragon 0-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
36%
3.54
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.74
Over 2.5
31%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.1pp
36%
Draw
25%
+10.3pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-12.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
54%
+15.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
46%
-15.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.73/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.63
-25% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +49%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
247 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Aguila
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.10.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
29.07.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-3 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
29.04.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
11.03.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.10.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.08.2023 Aguila Aguila 5-1 HT 3-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila got the better of Dragon 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dragon and 2.83 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Aguila?

Dragon 0-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dragon 21%, draw 36%, Aguila 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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