Dragon 0-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Mar 2024

Dragon
0-1 HT 0-1
Aguila
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Dragon vs Aguila Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Aguila — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
0.63/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.99
-49% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Dragon vs Aguila Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Aguila
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.10.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.08.2023 Aguila Aguila 5-1 HT 3-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
03.04.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.02.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
24.10.2022 Aguila Aguila 2-2 HT 2-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila squeezed past Dragon 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dragon and 2.20 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Aguila?

Dragon 0-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dragon 34%, draw 24%, Aguila 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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