Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Mar 2024

Fuerte San Francisco
1-0 HT 1-0
Alianza
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.95
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Alianza
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
07.10.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 0-2 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
14.08.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco squeezed past Alianza 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.75 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 24%, draw 34%, Alianza 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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