Platense 1-0 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -13%
1.39/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.65
+11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Corners 5
23.10.2023 Platense Platense 1-4 HT 1-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.08.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-3 HT 1-2 Platense Platense ELSAL
02.04.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 2-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
16.02.2023 Platense Platense 3-3 HT 1-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
10.07.2022 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
04.04.2022 Platense Platense 2-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Platense vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense edged past Isidro Metapan 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Platense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Platense and 2.00 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Platense vs Isidro Metapan?

Platense 1-0 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Platense 33%, draw 29%, Isidro Metapan 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Isidro Metapan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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