Aguila 3-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 29 Apr 2024

Aguila
3-1 HT 0-0
Dragon
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Aguila vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
1.57/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
-5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Aguila vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dragon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.03.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.10.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.08.2023 Aguila Aguila 5-1 HT 3-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
03.04.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.02.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
24.10.2022 Aguila Aguila 2-2 HT 2-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila beat Dragon 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aguila and 1.00 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Dragon?

Aguila 3-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aguila 48%, draw 25%, Dragon 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ BTTS No
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