Aguila 3-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Oct 2024

Aguila
3-0 HT 1-0
Dragon
📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Aguila vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.94
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Aguila vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dragon
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.07.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-3 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
29.04.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
11.03.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.10.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.08.2023 Aguila Aguila 5-1 HT 3-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
03.04.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila ran out comfortable winners over Dragon 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Aguila and 0.67 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Dragon?

Aguila 3-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aguila 58%, draw 22%, Dragon 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →