Dragon 0-3 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 29 Jul 2024

Dragon
0-3 HT 0-2
Aguila
📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Dragon vs Aguila Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Aguila — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
0.90/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.81
-24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1

Dragon vs Aguila Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aguila
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
11.03.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.10.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.08.2023 Aguila Aguila 5-1 HT 3-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
03.04.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.02.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila cruised past Dragon 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Aguila made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dragon and 2.17 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Aguila?

Dragon 0-3 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dragon 32%, draw 32%, Aguila 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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