Fuerte San Francisco 0-3 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -19%
0.97/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.70
-23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
21.01.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
12.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
17.09.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan cruised past Fuerte San Francisco 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Isidro Metapan found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.00 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-3 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 39%, draw 30%, Isidro Metapan 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✗ Under 2.5
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