Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
38%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.48
Over 2.5
30%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
25%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.8pp
38%
Draw
30%
+8.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
64%
+5.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
36%
-5.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.1pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -7%
0.80/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.59
-38% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.01.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
12.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
17.09.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 38% / 28% — and on the day Isidro Metapan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.00 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 34%, draw 38%, Isidro Metapan 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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