Dragon 1-1 Jocoro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jocoro EU Bookmakers 24%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.54/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.31
+70% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Jocoro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Jocoro Jocoro 1-2 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
17.12.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 3-1 HT 2-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
11.12.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-3 HT 0-1 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
23.10.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
28.08.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 1-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
26.03.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 2-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Jocoro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon and Jocoro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dragon at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jocoro led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dragon and 1.83 for Jocoro.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Jocoro?

Dragon 1-1 Jocoro in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Jocoro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dragon 49%, draw 25%, Jocoro 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dragon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dragon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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