Jocoro 1-2 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jocoro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.07/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.39
+61% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jocoro
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dragon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.12.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 3-1 HT 2-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
11.12.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-3 HT 0-1 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
23.10.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
28.08.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 1-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
26.03.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 2-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
30.01.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
POST-MATCH Jocoro vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon nicked a narrow win over Jocoro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dragon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jocoro had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jocoro and 0.67 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Jocoro vs Dragon?

Jocoro 1-2 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jocoro vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jocoro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jocoro 41%, draw 23%, Dragon 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jocoro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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