Isidro Metapan 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.16/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.87
-19% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
17.09.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan beat Fuerte San Francisco 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Isidro Metapan 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 44%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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