Alianza 1-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
28%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-16.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
14%
+13.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +2%
1.55/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.44
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Platense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
09.11.2023 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
07.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
26.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
30.01.2023 Platense Platense 0-3 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
31.10.2022 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
27.10.2022 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza and Platense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza and 0.33 for Platense.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Platense?

Alianza 1-1 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alianza 49%, draw 24%, Platense 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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