Alianza 1-0 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -1%
1.82/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.33
+5% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Platense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
3 Corners 10
30.01.2025 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
01.12.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
23.09.2024 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
22.04.2024 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
18.02.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
09.11.2023 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Platense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza and 0.33 for Platense.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Platense?

Alianza 1-0 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Alianza 60%, draw 25%, Platense 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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