Lobos UPNFM 2-2 Atletico Choloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Atletico Choloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM and Atletico Choloma shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lobos UPNFM at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Atletico Choloma?

Lobos UPNFM 2-2 Atletico Choloma in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Atletico Choloma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 52%, draw 27%, Atletico Choloma 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
4 Aug 2025
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