Real Espana 1-0 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +6%
1.41/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.03
+9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Marathon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
07.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
08.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
03.11.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-3 HT 0-2 Marathon Marathon HON
25.08.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
25.02.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana nicked a narrow win over Marathon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Espana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Espana and 1.33 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Marathon?

Real Espana 1-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 34%, draw 33%, Marathon 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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