Marathon 0-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
1.31/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.45
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Espana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
25.02.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
20.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
20.08.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
20.03.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
03.02.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana nicked a narrow win over Marathon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marathon and 0.83 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Real Espana?

Marathon 0-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Marathon 47%, draw 27%, Real Espana 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marathon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
25 Aug 2024
02:15 Olancho vs Motagua Analysis →
04:30 Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad Analysis →