Genesis PN 1-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.0pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.38/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.89
-1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
09.04.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
12.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
03.12.2023 Genesis PN 3-2 HT 2-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.11.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
09.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Genesis PN HON
14.08.2023 Genesis PN 2-2 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN and CD Real Sociedad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genesis PN had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Genesis PN and 0.83 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad?

Genesis PN 1-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 36%, draw 36%, CD Real Sociedad 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/29) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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