Genesis PN 1-0 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 9 Apr 2024

Genesis PN
1-0 HT 1-0
CD Real Sociedad
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v CD Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 29%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -26%
2.52/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.47
+72% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.3

Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
3W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
12.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
03.12.2023 Genesis PN 3-2 HT 2-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.11.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
09.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Genesis PN HON
14.08.2023 Genesis PN 2-2 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN nicked a narrow win over CD Real Sociedad 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Genesis PN found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Genesis PN had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Genesis PN and 1.00 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad?

Genesis PN 1-0 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 39%, draw 30%, CD Real Sociedad 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genesis PN), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✓ Under 2.5
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