CD Real Sociedad 1-2 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.54/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.15
+4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.12.2023 Genesis PN 3-2 HT 2-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.11.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
09.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Genesis PN HON
14.08.2023 Genesis PN 2-2 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN nicked a narrow win over CD Real Sociedad 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CD Real Sociedad at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Genesis PN?

CD Real Sociedad 1-2 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 43%, draw 28%, Genesis PN 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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