Motagua vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motagua v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Motagua vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Motagua
HON
2-1
HT 1-0
Marathon
HON
2-1
HT 0-0
Motagua
HON
3-0
HT 1-0
Marathon
HON
0-0
HT 0-0
Motagua
HON
1-2
HT 0-0
Marathon
HON
Motagua beat Marathon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Motagua found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Motagua and 1.17 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Motagua vs Marathon?
Motagua 2-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motagua vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Motagua 37%, draw 31%, Marathon 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.