Real Espana 1-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
0.68/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.73
-40% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +52%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
06.08.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
09.04.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
12.02.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
20.10.2022 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
22.08.2022 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana and CD Olimpia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Real Espana and 1.33 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Olimpia?

Real Espana 1-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 25%, draw 29%, CD Olimpia 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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