Marathon vs Real Espana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Real Espana — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Real Espana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Marathon
HON
2-0
HT 1-0
Real Espana
HON
0-1
HT 0-1
Marathon
HON
2-1
HT 0-1
Real Espana
HON
2-0
HT 2-0
Marathon
HON
Marathon squeezed past Real Espana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marathon and 1.17 for Real Espana.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Real Espana?
Marathon 1-0 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Real Espana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Marathon 51%, draw 26%, Real Espana 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.