Marathon vs Real Espana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Real Espana — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Real Espana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Marathon
HON
Marathon nicked a narrow win over Real Espana 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marathon and 1.00 for Real Espana.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Real Espana?
Marathon 1-0 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Real Espana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marathon 42%, draw 27%, Real Espana 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.