CD Olimpia 1-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
3.05
No
61%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.8pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.0pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
29%
+10.6pp
61%
BTTS No
71%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
2.26/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.41
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
6W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
06.02.2025 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-4 HT 1-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
01.12.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.09.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 5-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
05.04.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.02.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
25.09.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia and CD Real Sociedad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CD Olimpia at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.50 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad?

CD Olimpia 1-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 55%, draw 32%, CD Real Sociedad 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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