CD Real Sociedad 1-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.36/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.87
+37% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
0W-1D-5L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
05.02.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
25.09.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
17.08.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-3 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.03.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
23.01.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 5-0 HT 4-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
20.11.2022 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia squeezed past CD Real Sociedad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 2.83 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs CD Olimpia?

CD Real Sociedad 1-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 20%, draw 26%, CD Olimpia 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
5 Apr 2024
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