Vida vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vida v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Vida vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Marathon
HON
2-0
HT 1-0
Vida
HON
0-0
HT 0-0
Marathon
HON
0-2
HT 0-2
Vida
HON
2-2
HT 1-1
Marathon
HON
Marathon nicked a narrow win over Vida 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Marathon found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vida and 2.00 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Vida vs Marathon?
Vida 2-3 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vida vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vida 36%, draw 23%, Marathon 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.