CD Olimpia 5-0 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.97
Over 2.5
62%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.95
No
42%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
47%
-8.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
53%
+8.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.3pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
2.23/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.78
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
05.04.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.02.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
25.09.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
17.08.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-3 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.03.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
23.01.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 5-0 HT 4-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia cruised past CD Real Sociedad 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.83 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad?

CD Olimpia 5-0 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 56%, draw 23%, CD Real Sociedad 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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