Real Espana vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Espana v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Real Espana vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Marathon
HON
2-0
HT 1-0
Real Espana
HON
Marathon squeezed past Real Espana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Marathon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Espana and 1.50 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Real Espana vs Marathon?
Real Espana 1-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 37%, draw 30%, Marathon 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.