Real Espana 0-3 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.52/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.48
+3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Marathon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
25.02.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
20.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
20.08.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
20.03.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon cruised past Real Espana 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Espana and 1.17 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Marathon?

Real Espana 0-3 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 49%, draw 27%, Marathon 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Espana), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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